Chandigarh : Punjab is all set to go for assembly elections in 2022. The contest is very crucial for the Congress as Punjab is one of the few states having Congress hold. However, whether the recent leadership crisis has impacted its prospects in the state remains to be seen.
Amid tussle with Punjab Congress Chief Navjot Singh Sidhu Captain Amarinder Singh resigned from post of Chief Minister. He accused the Congress party of humiliating him.
While Congress appeared to have settled the crisis by appointing Charanjit Singh Channi as the state’s first Dalit Chief Minister, it faced another unexpected blow with Navjot Sidhu resigning from the post of Punjab Pradesh Congress Committee’s president.
Later Sidhu and Channi came on common grounds and solved all the grievances. They made changes in the cabinet. But these crisis have created a big doubt on the Congress leadership’s stability in the state now.
Meanwhile Shiromani Akali Dal and Bahujan Samaj Party alliance and Aam Admi Party have been targetting Congress over its 2017 poll promises and leadership issues. So now the upcoming elections will reveal that will Congress stay in power or not? Power tussle has impacted the ruling party’s ability to win voters’ trust in the state.
ABP News, in partnership with CVoter, conducted a survey to understand the mood of the people of Punjab ahead of the elections.
Vote Share
According to the survey, INC, which won 38.5 per cent votes in the 2017 election, is expected to win 31.8 per cent votes in next year’s election, an increase of 3 per cent from the projections in September.
On the other hand, AAP, which won 23.7 per cent votes in the 2017 election, can potentially win 35.9 per cent votes, an increase of 0.8 per cent as compared to the previous projection.
Meanwhile, the SAD-BSP alliance can gain 22.5 per cent votes. The BJP appears to have lost further in the estimates, as it is expected to gain only 3.8 per cent votes in the upcoming election, even less than the vote share that is predicted for others (6 per cent).
Range Of Seats
According to the survey, INC which was expected to win 38 to 46 seats in September, can win 39 to 47 seats as per the latest prediction.
However, in the fresh projections, AAP continues to claim more seats as it is expected to secure 49 to 55 seats, a reduction as compared to 51 to 57 seats predicted in September.
Meanwhile, the SAD-BSP alliance can win 17 to 25 seats, seeing a marginal increase from the September predictions.
On the other hand, it continues to be a poor show for the BJP with 0 to 1 seats predicted.
So while AAP can still dent the Congress party’s seats and vote share, the recent leadership crisis does not seem to have made a drastic impact in terms of further gains for opposition parties. Meanwhile, permutations and combinations can change drastically by the time the assembly elections approach.
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