He said that despite imposing the nationwide lockdown for more than 40 days now, India has not seen a declining trend in the new coronavirus cases till now.
New Delhi| The director of All India Institute of Medical Sciences (AIIMS), Dr. Randeep Guleria, has said that despite imposing the nationwide lockdown for more than 40 days now, India has not seen a declining trend in the new coronavirus cases till now.
Speaking in an interview about the need to continue the imposed lockdown and other aggressive measures in red zones, hotspots, and adjacent areas, Dr. Guleria explained how countries like Italy and China followed the strict social distancing rules and started getting results within period of one month.
However, the same cannot be said about India. To the surprise of many, Dr. Guleria predicted that India is likely to see the peak of Covid-19 in the months of June and July, reported the Live Mint.
Observing that the Covid-19 cases are currently increasing at a linear pace in India, the AIIMS Director said, “Currently, the cases are continuing to grow at a flat rate, sometimes even more. So, it is very difficult to predict when the peak will come; but it is likely to peak around June or July. This is why we need to be prepared for it and more vigilant to bring the number of cases down. We will need to continue the lockdown for some more time with careful deliberation, considering health, economy, and everything in mind.”
Dr. Guleria also stressed that one of the reasons behind the increasing Covid-19 cases is also increased testing. If one compares the number of people tested for Covid-19 and the number of people who tested positive for Covid-19, the number actually stands at 4 to 4.5 %.
He said the primary concern right now is that India has not seen a declining trend yet in the Covid-19 cases being reported, even after imposing a stringent lockdown for more than 40 days. In the wake of such a situation, the AIIMS boss said, one needs to revisit the strategy used for containment and craft it as per the evolving situation.
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