New Delhi | Retail inflation inched up to a six-month high of 2.92 percent in April due to a spike in food prices, including vegetables, meat, fish and eggs, according to the official data released on Monday.
Inflation based on the Consumer Price Index (CPI) was at 2.86 percent in the previous month and 4.58 percent in April 2018, the data by the Central Statistics Office (CSO) showed. The rate of price rise in April is the highest since October 2018 when the rate was 3.38 percent.
Inflation in the food basket was 1.1 percent in April, up from 0.3 percent in March. Prices of vegetables rose by 2.87 percent against a contraction in March. Fruit prices, however, declined in April compared to the year-ago month. Prices in the fuel and light category moved up by 2.56 percent in April against 2.42 percent in the previous month.
The Reserve Bank mainly factors in the CPI-based inflation while setting the key policy rates. The Monetary Policy Committee headed by the RBI governor would be meeting early June to decide on its monetary policy.
The government has mandated the RBI to maintain retail inflation at around 4 percent. Commenting on the data, RBL Bank Economist Rajni Thakur said the CPI inflation is moving closer to the inflation trajectory laid out by the RBI’s forecast.
Meanwhile, Crisil Research expects the retail inflation to rise 60 basis points (bps) to 4 percent this fiscal from 3.4 percent in 2018-19.
This base case assumes food inflation rising to 3 percent from an abnormal low of 0.1 percent, it added.
Deepthi Mathew, Economist, Geojit Financial Services noted that inflation in the country is slowly picking up reaching a six month high at 2.92 percent for April.
Commenting on the data, B Prasanna of ICICI Bank the CPI headline inflation came slightly below expectations, with core inflation “seeing a welcome downside surprise”, which is in tandem with the growing slack in the economy.
Moreover, food inflation continued to rise with sustained upward momentum in fruits and vegetables, he added.
Retail inflation was 1.87 percent in rural India, up from 1.8 percent in March. It increased to 4.23 percent in urban areas during April from 4.1 percent in the previous month.
Price data are collected from selected towns and selected villages by the Field Operations Division of NSSO.
As an independent media platform, we do not take advertisements from governments and corporate houses. It is you, our readers, who have supported us on our journey to do honest and unbiased journalism. Please contribute, so that we can continue to do the same in future.
