The panel highlighted that protective measures must continue. “If all protocols are followed, the pandemic can be controlled by early next year with minimal active cases by February end,” the panel concluded.
India has crossed the coronavirus pandemic peak and predicted that the epidemic could be brought under control by early next year if all measures are followed, a government-appointed panel has said. But the scheduled winter season and upcoming festivals may increase susceptibility to the infection and laxity at this point can again lead to a spike. Any relaxations in safety measure will lead to a significant rise. It can be as much as “upto 26 lakh cases a month,” the government panel said, adding that only 30 per cent of the population has developed immunity so far.
The panel highlighted that protective measures must continue. “If all protocols are followed, the pandemic can be controlled by early next year with minimal active cases by February end,” the panel concluded.
The total number of infections could be about 105 lakh (10.5 million) by the time pandemic ends. The current figure is 75 lakh.
The panel also said that in the absence of lockdown in March, India’s total deaths could have exceeded 25 lakh by August this year.
However, the stringent lockdowns are now undesirable and should be in place only in narrow geographical areas. The panel also said that the country should now move towards the full resumption of activities.
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