Assam Elections 2026 Elections 2026 Opinion Politics Tamil Nadu Elections 2026 West Bengal Elections 2026

State Elections 2026 May Not Be Easy for the BJP

On March 15, the Election Commission of India announced the schedule for the 2026 Assembly elections across four key states and the Union Territory of Puducherry. Voting will take place through April, and the results for all regions will be declared on May 4.
One notable change this time is the sharp reduction in the number of polling phases in West Bengal. Unlike previous elections that stretched across several phases, the Election Commission has limited it to just two, clearly aiming to make the process more efficient and less prolonged.
Here is how the schedule stands:
Kerala:
Voting: April 9
Seats: 140
Assam:
Voting: April 9
Seats: 126
Puducherry:
Voting: April 9
Seats: 30
Tamil Nadu:
Voting: April 23
Seats: 234
West Bengal:
Voting: April 23 and April 29
Seats: 294
Politically, each state presents a very different landscape.
In Kerala, the ruling Left Democratic Front is attempting something historically difficult, a third consecutive term. The contest, as always, revolves around the LDF and the Congress led UDF, though the BJP led NDA continues trying to expand its footprint in the state.
Tamil Nadu remains a high stakes battleground. The DMK led alliance is defending its position against the All India Anna Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam and a more active BJP alliance. Over twelve lakh first time voters are expected to participate here, which could influence the margins in several constituencies.
In West Bengal, the All India Trinamool Congress faces a determined challenge from the BJP, while a revived Left Congress understanding is also attempting to re enter the contest in a meaningful way.
Meanwhile in Assam, Chief Minister Himanta Biswa Sarma is leading the NDA’s campaign for a third term. The opposition campaign is being spearheaded by Gaurav Gogoi, whose political energy has added a new dimension to the contest.
If the elections are conducted fairly and peacefully, the outcomes across these states may not be uniformly favourable for the BJP.
Tamil Nadu currently appears inclined toward the Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam. Kerala, at this stage, seems to present a competitive field where the UDF may sense an opportunity. West Bengal still looks favourable to Mamata Banerjee and the Trinamool Congress, although the BJP will certainly leave no stone unturned to challenge that dominance.
Assam could prove the most unpredictable. The BJP may presently hold a slight edge, but the Congress campaign under Gogoi could still produce a surprise if momentum shifts during the campaign.
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