Scientists have predicted that the second wave of the global Covid-19 pandemic will reach its peak in mid-April, after which there will be a drop in infection cases by May end.
New Delhi| Coronavirus cases in India are growing rapidly. The Corona growth rate in March has surpassed the previous year’s record. In March, Coronavirus has shown a glimpse of its pace and there is speculation that it will be at its peak in the month of April. Scientists predict that by the middle of this month, Coronavirus will be at its peak and may wreak havoc across the country.
However, there is also a possibility of a fall in the cases once the peak is over. Meanwhile, during a review meeting on Friday with the Chief Secretaries and senior officials of 11 states, Cabinet Secretary Rajiv Gauba said that the coronavirus infection pace in March was 6.8 per cent. Whereas in June last year, the highest growth was recorded at 5.5 per cent.
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Gauba conducted a meeting with Chief Secretaries, Health Secretaries, Police Chiefs and Senior Officers of 11 states and Union Territories most affected by the resurgence of Coronavirus cases- Maharashtra, Punjab, Karnataka, Kerala, Chhattisgarh, Chandigarh, Gujarat, Madhya Pradesh, Tamil Nadu, Delhi and Haryana. he said that the situation in these states is worrisome. In the last 15 days, 90 per cent of Corona infections and deaths have been reported in these states. Many states have crossed the previous peak. Many have reached the peak.
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He said that in September 2020, the Coronavirus infection reached a peak of 97000 cases a day. Now it has reached 81000 again. The daily growth rate of infections is 5.5 per cent. The situation in Maharashtra is most worrisome. The state has been asked to take effective steps. He said that in Tier-2 and Tier-3 and semi-urban areas, there is an increase in corona cases. It’s a topic of concern.
Coronavirus cases peaked in September
The peak of the first wave of corona in the country was on 15–16 September, when more than 97000 new cases were reported. Since then, new cases had started coming down. Relief was seen till February, but as soon as March began, the corona cases again increased. On Friday, more than 81000 cases were reported in the country and it is feared that there will be a big increase in it every day.
The second wave of Corona at its peak in April
Using a mathematical model, scientists have predicted that the second wave of the global Covid-19 global pandemic will reach its peak in mid-April, after which there may be a significant drop in infection cases by the end of May. According to Manitra Agarwal of IIT Kanpur, in the last several days, we found that there is an assumption that cases in India will go up between April 15 and 20. It is a very fast rising graph, but the drop in cases will be equally fast and by the end of May, the cases will be very less.
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