So is there a possibility for a change in government in Gujarat? Let’s see what the data says. Whenever there is a close margin in the results it portrays that the mandate is not clear and there was a scope for the second number to have emerged victorious.
The Gujarat elections are just around the corner and campaigns have started in full swing. The Prime Minister’s one feet is the national capital and another in his hometown. The Aam Aadmi Party and the Congress both are fighting to be the principal opposition.
Announcement after announcement is taking place from all the parties to lure the voters. Gujarat is said to be BJP’s fortress as the saffron party is ruling the state for more than two and a half decades now. Congress had a CM in Gujarat 27 years ago, in 1995 under the leadership of Keshubhai Patel. Who later joined the BJP.
However, Was it really a cakewalk for the BJP in 2017? No, it was not rather it was a tough fight. Maybe because of an incumbency factor. The Grand Old Party bagged 77 seats out of 182 which is just 14 less than the magic number.
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So is there a possibility for a change in government in Gujarat? Let’s see what the data says. Whenever there is a close margin in the results it portrays that the mandate is not clear and there was a scope for the second number to have emerged victorious.
In 2017 there were 26 such seats that were won with a margin of fewer than 10,000 votes and BJP won 14 such seats.
The GOP won 10 and 2 were won by independents. Similarly, there were 12 Seats won by the saffron party with less than 5,000 margins, INC won 08 Seats, and independents won 02.
Both BJP and congress had won 3 seats respectively with less than 1000 votes margin. The Godhra seat of the Panchmahal district witnessed a minimum margin of 258 seats. C.K Rauliji was BJP’s candidate was C.K Raulji and Parmar Rajendrasin Balvantsinh was INC’s, candidate.
In 2017 the AAP which is by many of the mainstream media is displaying as a strong opposition had got the most votes in Wankaner, the AAP’s Sherasiya Usmangani Hushen polled close to 3000 votes. The margin of victory in that constituency, again won by the Congress, is less than 3000.
The Election Commission of India (ECI) is likely to announce the schedule for the Gujarat Assembly elections this week, according to the news agency PTI.
There are a total of 182 seats in Gujarat and 91 is the magic number. Meanwhile, Former Gujarat Chief Minister Shankarsinh Vaghela’s son Mahendrasinh Vaghela on Friday joined the Congress party in the presence of party leaders in Ahmedabad on Friday.
According to the C voters survey, 42.3 percent of people participating in the survey were satisfied with the BJP government’s work, 32.2 percent deemed it poor and 25.6 percent said it was average.
As per the CVoter poll, 39.9 voters in Gujarat said they were angry with the government but they didn’t want a change in dispensation, and 33.9 percent said they were angry and wanted to change the state government. As much as 26.2% said they were happy with the BJP rule.
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