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“This data shows that the BJP is in a lot of trouble and they might not be able to form a government after all. If you’re a BJP supporter and you’re worried about what this means for the party, then you should definitely watch this video!BJP is all set to relinquish power in Gujarat. This fact is making the BJP leadership jittery. If the BJP does lose in Gujarat, it will be a major jolt for the party and Prime Minister Modi’s image will take a further beating.In this episode, I show the reasons why it is next to impossible for the BJP to win in 2022. Firstly, history is not in their favor. Ever since Modi became the Chief Minister of Gujarat, BJP’s seat share has consistently declined, election after election. The biggest loss for the BJP was in the 2017 election when the party just managed to win only 99 seats. With the so-called ‘double-engine-sarkar’ in place – the loss was a severe jolt. However, the media downplayed this debacle. Remember, the halfway mark in the Gujarat assembly is 82. It is another matter that BJP orchestrated a series of defections and managed to cling to power. BJP is now in power with a slender margin of votes.Secondly, the party depends excessively on Mr. Modi for campaigning. Modi’s image has taken a beating in recent times. BJP’s local leadership in the state is absent and face-less. I am sure none of you would even recollect the name of the current chief minister of Gujarat.Third, the news about anti-incumbency events in Gujarat is again being suppressed by the media. In this context, I show some clips from a popular debate show on television. I further show that even a 5% swing of votes against the BJP is enough to topple them out of power.With the Aam Aadmi Party now throwing its hat in the ring, the election dynamics becomes even more complex. It is not now a question of whether or not the BJP will win the Gujarat elections. The question now is – Will any party at all win in Gujarat?

Watch the full episode. POLITIK FOCUS – Anjana Om Kashyap – The Link

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