How will US-Iran conflict affect India? an Expert Explainer

How will US-Iran conflict affect India? an Expert Explainer

“Our leadership has to balance how they can try to minimise this tension which is in the interest of India to have good relations,” Mundhe said

Iran retaliated in late-night hours against the two Iraqi military bases housing U.S. forces. This attack was a result of the airstrike that killed Iranian General Qaessm Soleimani last week. More than a dozen ballistic missiles were targeted by the AL Asad and Erbil military bases the Pentagon said.

US President Donald Trump confirmed the attack through his tweet. President Trump said, “All is well! Missiles launched from Iran at two military bases located in Iraq. Assessment of casualties & damages taking place now. So far, so good! We have the most powerful and well-equipped military anywhere in the world, by far! I will be making a statement tomorrow morning.”

Iran’s supreme leader while addressing his country, he voiced it as a “slap” to the America who killed their Senior General Iranian Commander last week. But Ayatollah Ali Khamenei pronounced that this is just not enough, US should leave the region that will be the real revenge.

Ayatollah Ali Khamenei said while addressing a large crowd in Tehran, “They were struck with such a slap last night. Military action like this is not sufficient, What is important is ending the corrupting presence of America in the region.”

Iran’s President Hassan Rouhani following the same saying maintained that Iran’s “real revenge and the ultimate response by regional nations is when America is expelled from this region and its hand of aggression is cut off forever.”

Examining the whole situation many questions arise. Are both the countries heading towards war? If this situation escalates what will be the effect of it? Geopolitical change? For India, how important is this issue? and how this will affect India?

HW News Network questioned experts to understand the whole scenario.

Why has this situation emerged?

According to the analyst of International Politics, Assistant Professor of Mumbai University, Rohidas Mundhe, “This situation has not emerged suddenly there’s a past to this situation, during the cold war period America and Iran had a tense situation. But when the supreme commander of Iran has been killed by the American forces this has led the tense situation in the Gulf region or West Asia and today we see the missiles fired by Iran or military establishments in Iraq. I think this will escalate a little bit in future as well”.

Are both nations on the verge of war?

“There will be no nuclear war as such. There will be small scale conflicts amongst both. Because both the nations know there is mutual destruction if it leads to nuclear war. But certainly, both countries will try to establish their hegemony in the region that America wants there should not be any nuclear power in the region which challenges its hegemony in that respective region but Iran wants to protect its National interest. Iran has already said that this attack is in the self-defence, so in future also Iran will try to defend itself,” Mundhe said.

How will it affect India and what should be India’s stand?

“Talking about India, this is a very critical situation because both the countries are equally important for India. We have trade relations with Iran for oil, with Saudi and Iraq as well who are neighbours of Iran. At the same time, we have good relations with America, we have done civil nuclear deal and getting so much of technology in the field of medicine, defence and agriculture. So we cannot disappoint either of the country. Our leadership has to balance how they can try to minimise this tension which is in the interest of India to have good relations with both the countries,” Mundhe added.

Will, there be an economic impact of US-Iran conflict?

Adding further, “The crude oil price will increase that will affect our economy. This will lead to rising inflation i.e increase in the transportation cost, etc. Our economy also depends on oil imports and because of this economy will get disturbed”.

Also Read: Iran’s Khamenei says ‘there is not going to be any war’ with US

What steps should be taken to restore peace?

Mundhe reacted, “Situation is out of hands of both the leaders. International community i.e United Nation should intervene in this matter and share some peace of mind with both the Nations. And should ask them to exchange words to restore peace. The only solution left now. This issue should be discussed in the United Nation Security Council so that pressure from the international community will restore peace in the region”.

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