The BJP, claiming to win 200 seats, will stay away from power this time. Its seats tally could however be more than 100.
The Times Now-C voter has released an opinion poll on Wednesday regarding the assembly elections to be held in West Bengal, Tamil Nadu, Kerala, Assam and Puducherry. Accordingly, despite the challenge of the BJP, TMC will continue to be in power in Bengal. Kerala, the last bastion of the Left, will also remain with the LDF. DMK may return in Tamil Nadu. At the same time, the saffron party may face a tough challenge in the BJP-ruled Assam.
BJP benefits in West Bengal, but away from power
According to opinion poll, TMC will form government for the third time in West Bengal under the leadership of Mamata Banerjee. It can get 160 seats. However, TMC seats may be lower than in previous elections. In 2016, the party won 211 seats. The BJP, claiming to win 200 seats, will stay away from power this time. Its seats tally could however be more than 100. It had won just 3 seats in the last election. Despite the organization being weak at the ground level, the party’s vote percentage is also increasing significantly.
According to the survey, the Congress and the left parties fighting in the coalition will suffer big losses. This coalition can get a maximum of 26 seats. Elections are to be held in 292 seats in the state. Mamta Banerjee is the favorite leader for the Chief Minister in Bengal. According to the survey, she is the preference for CM post for 55% of the people. The state president of BJP is Dilip Ghosh is in second place.
DMK Will Win Tamil Nadu
The DMK-Congress alliance may return to power in the southern state of Tamil Nadu. According to the survey, in the 234-member assembly, the alliance will win 177 seats. The AIADMK and its ally BJP, which is currently running the government, will see a big drop in seat and vote sharing. In 2016, this alliance won 136 seats. This year the number may remain 49.
Kamal Haasan-led MNM and TTV Dinakaran’s AMMK are projected to get 3 seats. DMK Chief MK Stalin is the first choice of the people in the state. Stalin got 43.1% and the current CM E Palaniswami got only 29.7% votes.
Close fight between NDA and UPA in Assam
According to Survey, the BJP-led Assam will witness a close fight between the NDA and the UPA. In the 126-member assembly, the ruling NDA has been given 69 seats and the Congress-led UPA has 56 seats in the 126-member assembly. This year the Congress is contesting elections in alliance with Badruddin Ajmal’s AIUDF, Bodo People’s Front and 3 Left parties.
The NDA consists of the Assam Gana Parishad with the BJP. In 2016, the NDA won power in the state by winning 86 seats. The UPA managed just 26 seats. However, Chief Minister Sarbananda Sonowal is the most preferred option for the post of Chief Minister in the state. More than 46% of the people who took the survey found him to be the best candidate. He is followed by Gaurav Gogoi of Congress (25%).
Vijayan government to get majority in Kerala
The opinion poll predicts the ruling LDF in power in Kerala. The Pinarayi Vijayan-led coalition will win 77 seats in the 140-member assembly. In 2016, this alliance got 91 seats. Despite the decrease in seats, the Vijayan government seems to be getting a majority.
The Congress-led UDF will increase the 47 seats won in 2016 to 62 seats this time. This number is not enough to remove the Vijayan government. BJP is not expected to make any gains in this election. It is likely to win just one seat. The party also got only one seat in 2016.
39.3% of the people surveyed wanted Vijayan to see the Chief Minister. Congress leader and former CM Oommen Chandy is at number two. He has received 26.5% votes.
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